Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Commonwealth
Atlantic 10
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.5#20
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#34
Pace71.6#84
Improvement-3.8#311

Offense
Total Offense+8.2#18
Improvement+0.2#158

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#43
Improvement-3.9#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 27.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.7% n/a n/a
Second Round59.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen23.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight10.7% n/a n/a
Final Four4.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 140   Florida Gulf Coast W 80-57 91%     1 - 0 +21.4 +4.1 +16.5
  Nov 13, 2012 34   Wichita St. L 51-53 69%     1 - 1 +6.4 -12.4 +18.7
  Nov 17, 2012 277   @ Winthrop W 90-54 94%     2 - 1 +32.3 +21.2 +12.9
  Nov 22, 2012 33   Memphis W 78-65 57%     3 - 1 +24.6 +10.0 +14.2
  Nov 23, 2012 6   Duke L 58-67 34%     3 - 2 +8.6 -5.3 +13.4
  Nov 24, 2012 19   Missouri L 65-68 50%     3 - 3 +10.5 +3.0 +7.3
  Nov 28, 2012 243   Stetson W 92-56 97%     4 - 3 +28.1 +11.1 +15.6
  Dec 01, 2012 50   Belmont W 75-65 74%     5 - 3 +16.6 +4.5 +12.2
  Dec 07, 2012 276   @ Old Dominion W 83-70 94%     6 - 3 +9.4 +8.4 +1.1
  Dec 15, 2012 68   Alabama W 73-54 81%     7 - 3 +23.2 +12.7 +12.5
  Dec 18, 2012 183   Western Kentucky W 76-44 94%     8 - 3 +27.8 -0.6 +28.0
  Dec 21, 2012 341   Longwood W 93-56 99%     9 - 3 +18.6 +2.7 +13.7
  Dec 29, 2012 335   Fairleigh Dickinson W 96-67 99%     10 - 3 +11.5 -5.6 +11.3
  Jan 02, 2013 324   @ East Tennessee St. W 109-58 97%     11 - 3 +42.8 +18.6 +18.4
  Jan 05, 2013 106   Lehigh W 59-55 87%     12 - 3 +5.0 -11.5 +16.7
  Jan 09, 2013 67   Dayton W 74-62 81%     13 - 3 1 - 0 +16.2 -2.2 +18.1
  Jan 12, 2013 119   @ St. Bonaventure W 72-65 75%     14 - 3 2 - 0 +13.4 +1.5 +12.2
  Jan 17, 2013 75   Saint Joseph's W 92-86 OT 83%     15 - 3 3 - 0 +9.5 +9.2 -0.4
  Jan 19, 2013 240   @ Duquesne W 90-63 91%     16 - 3 4 - 0 +25.7 +14.6 +10.8
  Jan 24, 2013 82   @ Richmond L 74-86 OT 67%     16 - 4 4 - 1 -3.0 +2.5 -5.5
  Jan 26, 2013 55   La Salle L 61-69 77%     16 - 5 4 - 2 -2.3 -6.9 +4.1
  Jan 30, 2013 185   @ Rhode Island W 70-64 85%     17 - 5 5 - 2 +8.3 +2.1 +6.5
  Feb 02, 2013 248   Fordham W 81-65 97%     18 - 5 6 - 2 +7.6 -0.7 +7.5
  Feb 09, 2013 130   @ Charlotte W 68-61 77%     19 - 5 7 - 2 +12.6 +14.0 +0.1
  Feb 14, 2013 78   Massachusetts W 86-68 84%     20 - 5 8 - 2 +20.8 +4.1 +14.7
  Feb 16, 2013 112   George Washington W 84-57 88%     21 - 5 9 - 2 +27.5 +7.9 +17.3
  Feb 19, 2013 17   @ Saint Louis L 62-76 37%     21 - 6 9 - 3 +3.0 +14.0 -14.1
  Feb 23, 2013 76   @ Xavier W 75-71 64%     22 - 6 10 - 3 +13.8 +4.5 +9.1
  Mar 02, 2013 44   Butler W 84-52 73%     23 - 6 11 - 3 +39.0 +19.9 +21.3
  Mar 06, 2013 82   Richmond W 93-82 85%     24 - 6 12 - 3 +13.5 +18.4 -4.9
  Mar 10, 2013 58   @ Temple L 76-84 57%     24 - 7 12 - 4 +3.6 +5.2 -1.4
  Mar 15, 2013 75   Saint Joseph's W 82-79 74%     25 - 7 +9.7 +9.8 -0.1
  Mar 16, 2013 78   Massachusetts W 71-62 76%     26 - 7 +15.1 -4.7 +19.1
  Mar 17, 2013 17   Saint Louis L 56-62 49%     26 - 8 +7.8 -4.8 +12.3
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 99.7% 99.7% 7.0 0.0 0.6 5.8 21.4 43.7 22.2 5.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 99.7%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 7.0 0.0 0.6 5.8 21.4 43.7 22.2 5.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 99.7%